Warning Console · reachable-set impact-point prediction
A maneuvering threat does not have an impact point. It has a footprint that shrinks.
Classical impact-point prediction assumes a single ballistic arc. A glide vehicle with a cross-range budget breaks that assumption on its first turn, and a solver that answers anyway returns a confident, precise, wrong point. This console propagates the whole reachable set instead, and shows the one thing that actually buys decision space: how fast the set collapses as the track is observed.
Kill chain position
Find · Fix · Track · Predict · Assess
Track picture
Concurrent tracks
Observation conditions
Degrade the picture
Every control here widens or tightens the footprint through the physics, not through a display multiplier. Degraded conditions should make the answer visibly less useful — if they don't, the uncertainty was decorative.
Nominal conditions.
Reachable set · impact-point prediction
Select a track
The shaded cloud is where this object can still reach. The rings are 50% and 90% containment. The marker is the modal cell.
ICD 203 / 206 assessment record
The judgment, not just the number
Decision rules
What this triggers, and who owns it
A probability with no bound action is a demo. Each rule below names the asset, the trigger, the action, the authority, and how long the action takes — so the console can check whether the decision window is long enough for the action it is recommending. When it isn't, the rule turns red instead of quietly recommending the impossible.
End-to-end timeline
Inference is not the long pole. It is barely a pole.
Sensor detection through to a unit actually beginning to move. Drag the operator-tempo control to see what changes the total and what doesn't.
| Segment | Kind | Seconds |
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Known limits
What this console still does not do
Stated here rather than discovered by an evaluator. Anything below is a real gap, not a roadmap flourish.