Open data feeds
The useful question is not what data exists. It is which data changes an answer.
Plenty of open feeds could be bolted to a globe and would look impressive. Very few of them would move a footprint. This page ranks candidates by whether they touch the physics that actually determines where something lands — and the top of that list is not imagery or news, it is the atmosphere the model flies through.
Implemented now
Live atmosphere
Requesting current pressure-level data…
Live comparison
Today's atmosphere against the 1976 standard
Density from pressure-level temperature and geopotential height through the ideal gas law, compared against USSA-76 at the same altitude. Drag scales linearly with density, so a departure of a few percent is a few percent on the drag term throughout the densest part of the flight.
Candidate feeds
Ranked by whether they move a footprint
Every feed listed is open access and keyless or near-keyless. The limitation column is the part usually left off a capability slide.
| Feed | Access | What it provides | What it would buy | Limitation | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOAA GFS / ECMWF pressure levels via Open-Meteo |
Live No key, CC BY 4.0 |
Temperature and geopotential height on 19 pressure levels, surface to ~24 km, refreshed hourly. | Replaces a 1976 long-term average with today's actual density where almost all the drag happens. Density enters drag linearly, so a few percent departure moves time of flight and footprint size directly. Implemented — see the live comparison below. | Stops around 24 km. A glide vehicle spends most of its flight above that, so the profile blends back to USSA-76 at the top. | high |
| NOAA SWPC space weather services.swpc.noaa.gov/json |
Live No key |
F10.7 solar radio flux and Ap geomagnetic index, including a 45-day forecast. | These two numbers drive thermospheric density in NRLMSISE-00. Above 86 km this build currently uses a crude exponential extension that ignores solar activity entirely — the weakest part of the atmosphere model, in the regime where a glide vehicle enters. | Only useful paired with an NRLMSISE-00 implementation, which is a meaningful port rather than a fetch. | high |
| NASA / USGS elevation (SRTM, 3DEP, Copernicus DEM) opentopodata.org, USGS |
Live Mostly keyless |
Terrain elevation at the impact point. | Trajectories here terminate at sea level. Real impact happens at terrain altitude, which changes time of flight and shifts the footprint. On a 2 km plateau the vehicle arrives measurably earlier than modelled. | Sampling a footprint's worth of terrain is many point queries; a tiled DEM subset is the sane approach. | high |
| Winds aloft via the same pressure-level feed |
Live No key |
Wind components at each pressure level. | Currently unmodelled. Wind is a first-order cross-range error source in the terminal phase and is the most common reason a well-calibrated ballistic prediction still misses. | Requires adding a wind term to the equations of motion — a real change to the propagator, not a data swap. | high |
| EGM2008 gravity model NGA, public coefficients |
Static Public |
Earth's actual gravity field including oblateness. | The model uses spherical inverse-square gravity. The J2 oblateness term alone produces a systematic, direction-dependent error over long trajectories. | Low-order coefficients are cheap; the full model is large and unnecessary here. | medium |
| CelesTrak / Space-Track element sets celestrak.org |
Live Keyless (CelesTrak) |
Orbital elements for tracked objects. | Not for the warning problem, but the obvious bridge to space-domain surfaces — cueing, sensor-tasking geometry, and reentry prediction for decaying objects, which is the same propagator with a different entry state. | Different problem class. Worth building beside this, not inside it. | medium |
| NASA EONET / FIRMS eonet.gsfc.nasa.gov, firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov |
Live Keyless / free key |
Natural event boundaries and thermal anomaly detections. | Not physics. Useful as a demonstrated-detection layer for the same globe, and as a genuinely live data source to sit beside modelled ones so the provenance chips have something real to distinguish themselves from. | Adds credibility to the provenance argument more than to the model. | low |
| ERA5 reanalysis Copernicus / Open-Meteo archive |
Historical No key via Open-Meteo |
Hourly reconstructed global atmospheric conditions from 1940. | The single most valuable item on this list for the readiness argument. It would let the calibration corpus be re-run against real historical atmospheres rather than a synthetic one — moving the calibration harness from a synthetic corpus toward a real environment. | Still not truth data about a vehicle. It closes the atmosphere half of validation, not the vehicle half. | high |
| NASA POWER power.larc.nasa.gov |
Live Keyless |
Long-term meteorological and solar climatology. | Useful for seasonal and regional atmosphere climatology — how much a given theatre departs from standard across a year, which bounds how much error the standard atmosphere assumption is worth. | Climatology, not conditions. Bounds the error rather than removing it. | medium |
| IGRA radiosonde archive NOAA NCEI |
Historical Keyless |
Actual balloon-measured temperature, humidity and wind profiles. | Measured rather than modelled. The right way to validate that the density profile derived from pressure-level data is itself correct — a verification step for the feed, not just for the solver. | Sparse in space and time, and rarely where you want it. | medium |
